Showing posts with label stock market. Show all posts
Showing posts with label stock market. Show all posts

Sunday, August 30, 2009

A Dickens Tale: 2 Economies, 1 Country


Seems like everyone is in a Charles Dickens mood this weekend, as many posts on blogs and financial websites are about 2 economies emerging: Marketwatch mentions about how the manufacturing sector is recovering, but the labor market is not.


Mike Shedlock's terrific Global Economics blog makes a great notation about how 2 types of companies have fared well during the credit bubble: Those who stayed away from debt to hoard cash, and those who just relied on bailouts. Companies that were in the middle that did not either have full cash or relied on taxpayer funds have done the worst.




The 50-year-old from Naples, Fla., had limited investment knowledge but attended several seminars before starting to trade in May. So far, York said, she's up an average of 40% a month and is trading full time."It's the best job I've ever had, not just for the enjoyment but from the compensation standpoint," said York, who previously sold telecom equipment. "I've replaced a significant six-figure income."

Wednesday, July 29, 2009

Is the next bubble in China? I vote "Yes"


The writing is on the wall. China's stock market is up an astounding 79% year to date. Unbelievable, but considering that last year their markets got clobbered, it is somewhat too much too soon. On top of that, Chinese banks are lending like crazy and building everything everywhere while they are still holding loads of US dollars.

In one sense, its a smart strategy in some sense, as John Mauldin pointed out...they are playing a game of "old maid", where they don't want to be the last one holding US dollars. In another sense, they've stimulated too much rather than let natural growth occur. More and more IPO's are hitting their market, which means the top is near and a beatdown is coming. Long term, they'll be a good buy, but not today.